New to elections: Are Ohio and Florida now safe Republican states?

[The Right Honourable Martin Brian Mulroney PC CC GOQ]

Welcome to the forum!

Ohio is safe in the sense that I can't see how a Democratic nominee could win the state anytime soon. It's still winnable at the state level with the right candidate, but so is Montana and nobody is calling that anything but a safe R state. Obama did win it in 2008 and 2012, but he was an unusually strong candidate for the great lakes states, and without the auto bailout and an opponent like Romney, he probably couldn't have won it in 2012.

Florida is unpredictable precisely because it has solid Democratic and Republican bases, and a lot of voters who can swing year-to-year. Biden's Latino underperformance was a major factor in Trump winning Florida, but with incumbency, you never know how things will go. Dems shouldn't give up on Florida because it's a huge prize and can single-handedly decide elections, but I'd say on balance it leans R.