CA-25: Garcia just barely leads (user search)
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  CA-25: Garcia just barely leads (search mode)
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Author Topic: CA-25: Garcia just barely leads  (Read 1089 times)
ChiefFireWaterMike
LordRichard
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,355


« on: November 23, 2020, 09:33:13 PM »

We're betting yes
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ChiefFireWaterMike
LordRichard
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,355


« Reply #1 on: November 23, 2020, 09:39:33 PM »

Don’t the last remaining mail ballots tend to lean Democratic?
Considering that most of the remaining ballots are in person this year, and that Christy has been failing to hit the percent she needs in Los Angeles county, it's not really relevant.
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ChiefFireWaterMike
LordRichard
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,355


« Reply #2 on: November 24, 2020, 10:20:34 AM »

Let this be a lesson about the merits of reflexive centrism. In a world where her scandal didn't happen, Katie Hill would have won.

Yes, Hill probably would have won without her scandal, but what does that have to do with centrism? You think the freaking Young Turks guy would have done better?

I'm on the record criticizing Cenk and his dog**** grift of a campaign. Either way, Christy Smith lost partially because the base didn't turn out for her.

Being a divisive asshole was probably a larger part of the campaign, but still. Attacking 30% of your primary voter base doesn't endear you to them, and attacking veterans doesn't endear them to the suburbans you're trying to win over.
Oh let me tell you, every republican in that race was rooting for Cenk so hard,  he would have been crushed. He was a c*nt, and needlessly rude to Christy every time he could be, I've never seen someone so just rude, not like abrasive or just hard in his attacks, but a c*nt.
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ChiefFireWaterMike
LordRichard
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,355


« Reply #3 on: November 24, 2020, 01:01:08 PM »

Are we getting more LA County ballots tonight?
Unless something changes, anywhere from 2:30-4:45 would be my guess.
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ChiefFireWaterMike
LordRichard
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,355


« Reply #4 on: November 24, 2020, 01:01:55 PM »

If 2022 is favorable enough, he could very well win again (unless Democrats get a very good candidate), but barring a more favorable district to him, it's hard to see him holding on in 2024 and/or beyond...
While there are ideas about Orange county and the farmer lands districts for redistricting, we've got no idea what'll happen to ca-25
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