AZ (Data Orbital): Biden +5 (user search)
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  AZ (Data Orbital): Biden +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ (Data Orbital): Biden +5  (Read 2187 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,784


« on: October 20, 2020, 09:44:19 AM »

Pre-rounding changes:

October 16-18
550 likely voters
MoE: 4.18%
Changes with October 3-5

Biden 47% (-1)
Trump 42% (-1)
Refused 4% (+2)
Jorgensen 3% (n/c)
Other 1% (not previously included)
Undecided 2% (-1)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,784


« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2020, 10:10:34 AM »

Based on state fundamentals and not taking polls into consideration too much, I think that this is the most likely outcome.

Too early to consider polls. I will take the polls into consideration during the next week.




Why is Nevada Republican based on fundamentals? If anything's given Republicans hope there (although I think it's safe D anyway), it's the polls.
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