ME-Bangor Daily News/Digital Research: Biden +11 (user search)
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  ME-Bangor Daily News/Digital Research: Biden +11 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME-Bangor Daily News/Digital Research: Biden +11  (Read 2072 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


« on: October 06, 2020, 01:09:05 PM »
« edited: October 06, 2020, 02:11:16 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

Critical Insights
September 25 - October 4
Changes with July 28-August 9 poll; trends calculated pre-rounding

Statewide
466 likely voters
MoE: 4.4% (apparently for likely voters, judging by the way the article reads)

Initial ballot
Biden 51% (+6)
Trump 40% (+2)
Jorgensen 3% (not included in previous poll)
Prefer not to say 2% (+1)
Hawkins 1% (not included in previous poll)
Someone else 1% (-8)
De La Fuente 0% (no voters)
Not sure who will vote for 3% (-3)

With RCV (taking the second choices only of Hawkins and Jorgensen voters):
Biden 52%
Trump 40%
Prefer not to say 2%
De La Fuente 1%
No second preference 1% [edit: this means voters wouldn't rank a second choice, judging by the Senate questions]
Someone else 1%
Hawkins 0% (but some voters)
Jorgensen 0% (no voters)
Not sure who will vote for 3%

ME-01
232 likely voters

Initial ballot
Biden 62%
Trump 30%
Jorgensen 3%
Hawkins 1%
Prefer not to say 1%
Someone else 1%
De La Fuente 0% (no voters)
Not sure who will vote for 3%

ME-02
234 likely voters

Initial ballot
Trump 49%
Biden 41%
Jorgensen 2%
Hawkins 1%
Prefer not to say 1%
Someone else 0% (but some voters)
De La Fuente 0% (no voters)
Not sure who will vote for 3%
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2020, 01:58:42 PM »

So if the statewide and Maine 1st vote are solid Biden majorities, but in Maine 2nd no one got 50%, only RCV would be done for it?

Yes.
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