TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,787
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« on: September 16, 2020, 04:21:41 PM » |
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« edited: September 16, 2020, 06:29:30 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »
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In terms of vote share post-RCV (as opposed to margin, which is what is suggesting a 9% overperformance in the Quinnipiac poll), I think it'll ultimately be 5-6%. These aren't all going to be Biden-Collins voters, however, and Gideon maintains a decent edge.
Edit: probably closer to 5% than 6%, but I picked the 5-8% option because I think it'll still be north of 5%.
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