Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates: Biden +10 in CO, +1 in GA, -2 in IA, +14 in ME, -7 in MT (user search)
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  Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates: Biden +10 in CO, +1 in GA, -2 in IA, +14 in ME, -7 in MT (search mode)
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Author Topic: Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates: Biden +10 in CO, +1 in GA, -2 in IA, +14 in ME, -7 in MT  (Read 1846 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776
« on: September 10, 2020, 09:32:46 AM »
« edited: September 10, 2020, 11:56:07 AM by TiltsAreUnderrated »
Conducted for AARP
All conducted August 30 - September 5
All of likely voters

CO
Changes with July 29-31, 2019 poll

Biden 50 (-1)
Trump 40 (-2)

ME
Changes with July 29-31, 2019 poll

Biden 54 (+4)
Trump 40 (-4)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776
« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2020, 11:01:59 AM »
An update: the MoEs are correct, but all of these Fabrizio polls (although not the Benenson ones) actually sampled 800 likely voters each.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776
« Reply #2 on: September 10, 2020, 12:47:27 PM »

Source? I'm not seeing that in the link.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776
« Reply #3 on: September 10, 2020, 02:10:45 PM »

Thanks!

MoE for full sample: 3.5%

Initial Gideon vs Collins: 7% undecided (in addition to Gideon 44, Collins 43, Savage 6)

Both undecided voters and Savage voters are then pushed as to who they prefer, giving us Giden 48, Collins 47 (thanks to RCV).
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