Change Research - Kelly +9, Peters +7, Cunningham +10 (AZ, MI, NC) (user search)
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  Change Research - Kelly +9, Peters +7, Cunningham +10 (AZ, MI, NC) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Change Research - Kelly +9, Peters +7, Cunningham +10 (AZ, MI, NC)  (Read 1973 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,784
« on: July 01, 2020, 06:22:54 AM »
Estimated sample sizes for swing states based on percentage of the full battleground sample they constitute. The MoE for the full battleground sample of 3739 likely voters is 1.6%.

AZ: 298 likely voters
Kelly 53%
McSally 44%
Undecided 3%
Would not vote 0%

MI: 559 likely voters
Peters 49%
James 42%
Undecided 7%
Would not vote 2%

NC: 597 likely voters
Cunningham 51%
Tillis 41%
Undecided 7%
Would not vote 1%
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,784
« Reply #1 on: July 12, 2020, 11:04:51 AM »
Sample sizes for likely voters obtained by 538:

AZ: 311
MI: 699
NC: 468
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