Pennsylvania Statewide Discussion (user search)
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  Pennsylvania Statewide Discussion (search mode)
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Author Topic: Pennsylvania Statewide Discussion  (Read 22095 times)
DaleCooper
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« on: October 19, 2023, 08:36:13 AM »

So far, these numbers are mirroring 2022 with a small D edge (margin wise)

Requested ballots in 2022 (final) were D+47.5; it's D+51.5 right now.

Returned ballots in 2022 (final) were D+47.9; it's D+50.2 right now.

Final return rate in 2022 was 83.2% for both parties

2022 had 1.44M requested and 1.18M returned.

Looks like PA GOP's new push to get Republicans to use VBM is falling on deaf ears.

I think the issue might be that if you set aside the die-hards that listen to conservative propaganda, a lot of Trump voters simply don't like Republicans. They don't like the GOP, don't trust them, probably don't even see them as an especially good alternative to the Democrats, and a lot of them may not even think Trump is all that great either but they've bought into the lie that he'll protect their job or put a stop to illegal immigration or whatever.

I don't believe that Trump voters are too dumb to know that there are elections other than presidential ones, I think many of them just don't care and don't want to go out of their way to vote for Republicans. 
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DaleCooper
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Posts: 11,331


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« Reply #1 on: April 12, 2024, 09:16:43 AM »

VBM requested: 868,492
Dem: 632,929 (72.9%)
Rep: 226,993 (26.1%)

VBM returned: 194,358
Dem: 142,025 (73.1%)
Rep: 50,341 (25.9%)

Dem return rate: 22.4%
Rep return rate: 22.2%

I don't think Republicans can recover this decade from the hole they dug themselves on VBM. It's more severe as time goes on. As blue avatars love to remind us, the GOP now has the low-propensity voters, supposedly, so the more they surrender on this issue the worse it's going to be for them.
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