DaleCooper
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Posts: 11,500
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« on: November 07, 2020, 09:50:50 AM » |
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It'll be quite similar to 2020, for me, though I think Georgia will be lean D at that point and I think Wisconsin should be considered a tossup regardless of whatever polling advantage Democrats may have there. Michigan is a bit of a bright spot considering that Biden got close to 51% there, not far off from his national percentage, and the Democrats should feel very good about New England (ME-02 aside) and Minnesota. Iowa and Ohio should definitely be written off at the presidential level for Democrats now.
I am hesitant though to get my heart set on any particular trend or result, whether good or bad, because if we should have learned anything from the last four years it's that one set of elections is rarely a clear indicator of what's going to happen in the next set. We'll just have to see.
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