NC (Trafalgar): Trump + 3

[DaleCooper]

Everything being the exact same margin is what makes these look so suspect at a glance. Even Rasmussen has a little variety. With Trafalgar, every round is either plus 2 or maybe 3.

[DaleCooper]

No idea what to make of this poll. These are the numbers that occurred here in 2016, but there is no prior election to compare their poll to.  If you count the demographics as more similar to Florida, they might be close, albeit closer to a tie. If you count the demographics as being more similar to Georgia, Biden is probably ahead based on this.

I'm currently not even trying to gather any information from Trafalgar. At this point I'm very skeptical of whether they are even conducting legitimate polls.

[DaleCooper]

Genuine question,

if they are faking the polls why don't they have more realistic crosstabs?

This doesn't mean the polls aren't junk, I am just saying why would they show Biden winning 25% of Republicans instead of just doing 10% and lowering Trump's percentage with Dems?

The simple answer is that they probably just don't know what they're doing and don't have a nuanced enough understanding of the electorate to fake crosstabs. A lot of self-proclaimed experts that support Trump tend to say whatever they feel must be true. I vividly remember Dave Rubin (cultural critic and poli-sci major) predicting last year that Trump would get 30% of the black vote and that Candace Owens would become a US Senator.