Morning Consult WI: Daily Tracking Poll

[DaleCooper]

It should be noted Morning Consult had Trump approval at 44% in October of 2018 and the exit poll found it at 48%, they underestimated his approval rating by 4% in WI, I assume they are using the same methodology here.

That's really not too damning of an underestimate, especially given that it's at minimum several days dated by the time election day rolled around. For comparison, Fox News polling had Trump's approval among likely voters at 52% in late October 2018.

[DaleCooper]

It should be noted Morning Consult had Trump approval at 44% in October of 2018 and the exit poll found it at 48%, they underestimated his approval rating by 4% in WI, I assume they are using the same methodology here.

That's really not too damning of an underestimate, especially given that it's at minimum several days dated by the time election day rolled around. For comparison, Fox News polling had Trump's approval among likely voters at 52% in late October 2018.

Which Fox poll in WI had Trump approval at 52% in WI, do you have a link to the poll.

I got that wrong, I was looking at his recent Fox AZ numbers, which had his approval at 52% in October 2018 and confused them for the WI numbers I had open in another tab.

[DaleCooper]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1302738230098513922?s=19

No change for Biden and Trump +1%.

At this rate it'll be Trump +50 on Election Day.

[DaleCooper]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1302738230098513922?s=19

No change for Biden and Trump +1%.

At this rate it'll be Trump +50 on Election Day.

Biden does need it to stop going down soon.  Interested to see what happens when the RNC days roll off.  I think the Biden+10/11 stuff a few days ago included the end of the DNC?

Possibly the steady narrowing is the roll off of the DNC. We'll see what happens.

EDIT: That said, +6 is where CBS/YouGov's post RNC poll puts WI

[DaleCooper]

Looks like the Rust Belt polling is pretty stagnant.