Montana: Trump +21 (Emerson) (user search)
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  Montana: Trump +21 (Emerson) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Montana: Trump +21 (Emerson)  (Read 740 times)
ProgressiveModerate
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Posts: 14,032
« on: March 06, 2024, 03:40:54 PM »
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on March 06, 2024, 02:36:51 PM
Quote from: Matty on March 06, 2024, 02:09:17 PM
Tester is not going to survive if trump carries the state by 21

He’s up 2 in the same poll.

Polls tend to overestimate ticket-splitting.
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ProgressiveModerate
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Posts: 14,032
« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2024, 04:20:15 PM »
Quote from: The Economy is Getting Worse on March 06, 2024, 04:17:09 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on March 06, 2024, 03:40:54 PM
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on March 06, 2024, 02:36:51 PM
Quote from: Matty on March 06, 2024, 02:09:17 PM
Tester is not going to survive if trump carries the state by 21

He’s up 2 in the same poll.

Polls tend to overestimate ticket-splitting.
They underestimated ticket splitting in Maine 2020.

One exception doesn’t disprove a general trend
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