People who talk about 2017 need to make sure they have their faces straight. Mundy was essentially an incumbent, because she was appointed by Wolf (D) - so she had his blessings of sorts, which basically gave a lot of D-leaning folks permission to be okay with her. Also, as we saw with Pat Toomey, 2016-2017 of the PA suburbs is quite different than the 2023 PA suburbs. An R candidate would never be getting his margins now in most of the collar counties.
Also, anyone talking about 2021.... as some have stated, 2021 was actually contextually speaking not bad at all for Dems. Of course in totality we still lost the race, but the fact that Brobson only won by <1% in a terrible environment for Dems showed Dems strength imo.
Carluccio is already getting hammered for her abortion stances (that have been removed from her website) and being bankrolled by pro-life groups.
And yes, Philly's mayoral election will certainly help. But the collar counties should help too; I posted in the May 2023 primary thread but turnout was much better for Dems in places like Montgomery than it was for Reps, when usually (recently) its been closer to equal.
Ye, these were my thoughts as well. Only losing by 1% in a disasterous year for Dems is telling.
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