To all the people praising Pinion or blaming Schumer, you really have the governor race to thank/blame - it was Zeldin who ran such a great campaign that, forget 13 points, he lost by a mere 5 points; and it was Hochul who was so pathetic that she won by just 5 points as a Democrat in New York. I get that this is asking for senate races and not governor races, but IMO any credit for the NY results goes to Zeldin and any blame goes to Hochul. It was the governor race that led to Democrats underperforming congressionally in NY.
Turnout dynamics by party were extremely favorable to Rs in NY this cycle. Schumer actually put up a respectable performance considering the electorate he was dealing with, the same way in 2018, John James put up a respectable performance despite ultimately losing by like 6%.
This is why I think D'Esposito will be an under-dog come 2024 unless he's like really really moderate. It seems like turnout in the heavily Black/Hispanic areas of Hampstead crashed in a way it won't in 2024 just by nature of being a Pres year. Zeldin also won NY-04 so it's not like his performance on it's own was anything particularly impressive.
However, the GOP having incumbents in a bunch of these swing districts that would be competitive normally in a Pres year is an assist to them.
