ProgressiveModerate
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Posts: 13,982
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« on: October 16, 2022, 08:07:42 PM » |
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At face value, Oregon's gerrymander is pretty solid, it just seems like Dems may be having a terrible year in Oregon. A Biden + 14 left-shifting seat in any remotely normal circumstances would not be competitive and even a 4D-2R delegation in an R leaning year is fine.
New Mexico's gerrymander is hard because no matter what the best you could do would be to perfectly balance all 3 seats in terms of partisanship which may violate VRA.
Nevada Dems really took a gamble and it'll depend upon how Las Vegas continues to shift over the course of a decade.
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