Why do People Consider Florida Likely R ? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 23, 2024, 08:45:25 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Why do People Consider Florida Likely R ? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Why do People Consider Florida Likely R ?  (Read 2017 times)
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,924


« on: December 07, 2020, 07:48:17 AM »

No state has had a consistent trend in one direction; even states like MI, AZ, and GA have bounced back and forth a little bit. It makes it challenging to know whether FL will actually continue to trend rightwards, if it will stagnate, or if it'll bounce back a bit; still have to give the GOP a slight edge, but likely R is very premature in my view, especially this far out.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,924


« Reply #1 on: December 07, 2020, 08:04:33 AM »

Personally, I think it's a bit of a self-fulfilling prophecy. Sure, Dems could win Florida. But now we know we don't have to, and it's an expensive place to try to sink resources into. So, I suspect campaign managers will make it lower priority than it has been in years past.

Though winning FL does block off any GOP path and the furthest left Ds can get it to vote relative to the nation, the smaller R's EC advantage gets. I would still heavily invest for 2024, and if it votes 7% to the right of the nation again, place it lower on the priority list going forwards.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.017 seconds with 12 queries.