Biden won't replicate Clinton's record performance but he can very well match Obama's 2012 numbers (+24).
I think this is what people forget. Clinton didn't lose FL because of a poor performance in Miami-Dade, infact, it's surprising she lost FL but ended up having a great performance in Miami-Dade. Even though Trump seems on track to do better than Clinton in the Miami area, many of the same polls indicate Biden is also gaining amongst senior voters elsewhere in the state. Will they cancel out or if one overpowers the other is yet to be seen.