Miami-Dade - SEA Research: Biden +21
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2024, 11:40:27 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Miami-Dade - SEA Research: Biden +21		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Miami-Dade - SEA Research: Biden +21  (Read 4064 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 26, 2020, 08:25:01 AM »
Internal for Miami-Dade mayoral candidate Daniella Levine Cava.

Oct 20-22, 402 LV, MoE: 5.3%

Biden 58%
Trump 37%

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/377192-survey-levine-cava-comfortable-lead
Logged
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,098


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2020, 08:30:46 AM »
It's going to be glorious when Trump overperforms his 2016 performance statewide because Biden failed miserably in Miami-Dade.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,198


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2020, 08:31:09 AM »
Quote from: SirWoodbury on October 26, 2020, 08:30:46 AM
It's going to be glorious when Trump overperforms his 2016 performance statewide because Biden failed miserably in Miami-Dade.

sure jan
Logged
Umengus
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,478
Belgium


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2020, 08:33:07 AM »
was 63-33 in 2016. And EV seems to confirm that.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,836
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2020, 08:40:46 AM »
Biden won't replicate Clinton's record performance but he can very well match Obama's 2012 numbers (+24).
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,728


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2020, 08:43:42 AM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 26, 2020, 08:40:46 AM
Biden won't replicate Clinton's record performance but he can very well match Obama's 2012 numbers (+24).

I think this is what people forget. Clinton didn't lose FL because of a poor performance in Miami-Dade, infact, it's surprising she lost FL but ended up having a great performance in Miami-Dade. Even though Trump seems on track to do better than Clinton in the Miami area, many of the same polls indicate Biden is also gaining amongst senior voters elsewhere in the state. Will they cancel out or if one overpowers the other is yet to be seen.
Logged
TopShelfGoal
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 322


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 26, 2020, 08:45:11 AM »
« Edited: October 26, 2020, 08:48:38 AM by TopShelfGoal »
Same as what Ben Nelson got in 2018. Biden should have a credible path to victory as he is doing well in the I-4 region and Duvall.



Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,643
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 26, 2020, 08:46:09 AM »
Cubans say they hate dictators but they certainly seem to love them.
Logged
Minnesota Mike
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,077


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 26, 2020, 08:46:19 AM »
Florida map is going to look a lot more like 2018 Gov/Sen than 2016 Prez. Trump likely improves in MD but Biden will do better in the I-4 corridor and the Duval area.
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2020, 08:50:10 AM »
Quote from: MasterJedi on October 26, 2020, 08:46:09 AM
Cubans say they hate dictators but they certainly seem to love them.
Your an idiot if you think Trump is anything like a dictator.
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,643
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2020, 08:51:32 AM »
Quote from: Buzz on October 26, 2020, 08:50:10 AM
Quote from: MasterJedi on October 26, 2020, 08:46:09 AM
Cubans say they hate dictators but they certainly seem to love them.
Your an idiot if you think Trump is anything like a dictator.

*you're, but anyone who thinks he wouldn't deport all the Cubans in a second if he felt like it because they came here illegally is also delusional.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,581
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2020, 08:51:50 AM »
Maybe this is why polls in Florida are so close.
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2020, 08:53:11 AM »
Same as 2018, but new voters and even a minimal gain with seniors in the rest of Florida will flip the state from those 0.1-0.4% numbers.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,681
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2020, 08:57:07 AM »
Quote from: SirWoodbury on October 26, 2020, 08:30:46 AM
It's going to be glorious when Trump overperforms his 2016 performance statewide because Biden failed miserably in Miami-Dade.

MN,.WI, MI, PA, AZ, FL and NC were all decided by 4 pts or less due to Jill Stein and Gary Johnson voters
Logged
Buzz
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,186


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2020, 09:00:51 AM »
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on October 26, 2020, 08:57:07 AM
Quote from: SirWoodbury on October 26, 2020, 08:30:46 AM
It's going to be glorious when Trump overperforms his 2016 performance statewide because Biden failed miserably in Miami-Dade.

MN,.WI, MI, PA, AZ, FL and NC were all decided by 4 pts or less due to Jill Stein and Gary Johnson voters
Yep, that was definitely the reason.  Smh
Logged
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,682
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 26, 2020, 09:27:33 AM »
Biden will do better than Nilson/Gillum here but worse than Clinton in Miami Dade. It's all turnout and how Biden does in the rest of Florida to see if he wins
Logged
Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,853
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 26, 2020, 12:30:17 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on October 26, 2020, 08:50:10 AM
Quote from: MasterJedi on October 26, 2020, 08:46:09 AM
Cubans say they hate dictators but they certainly seem to love them.
Your an idiot if you think Trump is anything like a dictator.

Fair enough, but you're also an idiot if you don't think Trump would choose to be a dictator if our institutions were weaker.
Logged
Rand
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,141
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 26, 2020, 01:44:10 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on October 26, 2020, 09:00:51 AM
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on October 26, 2020, 08:57:07 AM
Quote from: SirWoodbury on October 26, 2020, 08:30:46 AM
It's going to be glorious when Trump overperforms his 2016 performance statewide because Biden failed miserably in Miami-Dade.

MN,.WI, MI, PA, AZ, FL and NC were all decided by 4 pts or less due to Jill Stein and Gary Johnson voters
Yep, that was definitely the reason.  Smh

Yeah, everyone knows it was shy Trump voters (a.k.a. leaders and fighters for freedom and liberty and the American Dream).
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,117
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 26, 2020, 06:12:22 PM »
Leave it to Florida to make me start hating one of the few parts of the state that I find slightly tolerable.
Logged
Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,128
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 26, 2020, 06:21:35 PM »
All Biden has to do is match Clinton's raw vote margin here. If he can get a 290k margin in MD, he's golden.

Turnout is way up, so this shouldn't be too difficult.
Logged
jdk
Rookie
**
Posts: 225


Political Matrix
E: -0.68, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 26, 2020, 06:26:37 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on October 26, 2020, 08:50:10 AM
Quote from: MasterJedi on October 26, 2020, 08:46:09 AM
Cubans say they hate dictators but they certainly seem to love them.
Your an idiot if you think Trump is anything like a dictator.
Someone who doesn't know the difference between *you're and *your has no business calling anyone else an idiot.
Logged
GeneralMacArthur
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,940
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 26, 2020, 06:28:26 PM »
Biden's path to victory isn't through Miami.  It's through The Villages.
Logged
Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,751


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 26, 2020, 06:40:16 PM »
MAGA loves the Miami-Dade hispanics!
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 26, 2020, 07:58:12 PM »
Quote from: GeneralMacArthur on October 26, 2020, 06:28:26 PM
Biden's path to victory isn't through Miami.  It's through The Villages.

More like through St. Pete and Sarasota.
Logged
Hollywood
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,724
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 26, 2020, 08:05:39 PM »
Quote from: Devils30 on October 26, 2020, 07:58:12 PM
Quote from: GeneralMacArthur on October 26, 2020, 06:28:26 PM
Biden's path to victory isn't through Miami.  It's through The Villages.

More like through St. Pete and Sarasota.

I4, Sarasota and St. Pete, the Villages... You're all attempting to say the same thing.  
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 12 queries.