These aren’t the right numbers. The poll asks *all* respondents, whether they are Republicans or not, who would be their choice for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. But including Democrats in the sample doesn’t make any sense, since Democrats are largely not going to vote in a GOP primary. The sample as constructed has close to equal numbers of Democrats, Republicans, and Independents, which makes no sense if the goal is to poll a Republican primary.
If you limit it Republicans only, then it’s:
Trump 45%
Pence 22%
Romney 8%
Cruz 7%
Rubio 5%
Carlson 4%
Haley 4%
Kasich 2%
Pompeo 2%
Rick Scott 2%
Santorum 1%
If Trump doesn’t run:
Pence 44%
Cruz 14%
Romney 11%
Carlson 6%
Haley 6%
Rubio 6%
Pompeo 3%
Santorum 3%
Kasich 2%
Rick Scott 2%
Ok that makes much more sense.
