Right in line with about Biden +2 in Michigan, which is my prior. I know polls did okay in 2022, but that was without Donnie on the ballot.
The latest polls in the MI-Gov race this year actually underestimated Whitmer.
After the most recent weeks, I'm not that sure Trump is gonna pull that stunt a third time with greatly overperforming polls. More seems like people are tired of him, even some GOPers.
I think a big part of the D overperformance was pollsters overcorrecting for 2020. After this year they're probably going to overcorrect in the opposite direction now.
Regardless, Biden at 50% is good.
What I don't get is how Selzer manages to be so accurate even when Trump is on the ballot.
How can they find all these hidden deplorables everyone else misses? What's the secret sauce?
The secret sauce is being Ann Selzer, Queen of Polls