GOP Internals: Up less than 5 in Montana, Down in Maine, Georgia and Kansas (user search)
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  GOP Internals: Up less than 5 in Montana, Down in Maine, Georgia and Kansas (search mode)
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Author Topic: GOP Internals: Up less than 5 in Montana, Down in Maine, Georgia and Kansas  (Read 5526 times)
Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« on: July 02, 2020, 08:50:00 PM »
« edited: July 02, 2020, 08:55:10 PM by EastOfEden »

KANSAS?!?

That only happens if Biden is up, like, 15 nationally.

Probably but it is worth noting that Kansas is actually fairly well educated compared to most other states (It ranks #17 in the country for bachelor's degree attainment - ahead of Oregon, Pennsylvania and Wisconson)

That's the key. Kansas has always been very middle-class and educated. Add in the increasing diversity in the western part of the state, and we may very well see some surprises! I don't think Biden is going to win it, but it's looking very much like we could see Trump's margin reduced to single digits.

A Biden victory in Kansas would be a 21-point swing, which would be absolutely insane. Would top Indiana 2008 for sure (given Kansas's voting history).

I think it’s time to consider that Missouri poll may have more merit than people thought, by the way.

I'm still a doubter, but it's an encouraging sign. I just keep going back to that Trump +2 poll in August 2016. Polls have been overestimating Democrats pretty consistently here since around 2015.

Will Biden get above 50% in Johnson county?

Looking pretty likely. He'll win it regardless, but I think the size of his win could become pretty impressive if this keeps up.
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