Will Trump be impeached?

[anvi]

Having a House majority of the party opposing the president always poses a theoretical danger of impeachment.  Trump has certainly increased the danger to him in the way he has conducted his office.  Like True Federalist, I think at least hearings are likely in this scenario, and how those hearings go would test the waters about whether to go farther.  But there are risks in doing it too.  If the Dems go farther than a good case would warrant, they can alienate the voters, just as the '98 impeachment of Clinton did.  Second, focusing on booting Trump from office may detract the Dems from the surest-fire way of unseating him, namely finding a candidate that the voters like better in 2020.  Right now, I admit, that is looking difficult to me, but it's a safer political route.

This is all an analytical take on the situation.  I  certainly do think Trump is the most, no, the only genuine, impeachment-worthy president since Nixon. Emolument violations would be serious in themselves, but If Moeller does come up with substantial evidence that the Trump campaign actively sought assistance from Russian government actors for its campaign, I think he should be removed from office by whatever party is in the majority.        

[anvi]

I agree the '98 impeachment was not in the long run a disaster for Republicans--it was bad for them short-term--in the '98 midterms.  As you rightly point out, Gore ran a poor campaign in a number of respects, including barring Clinton from most of it, and it seems to me Gore lost the race more for the tepidness of his campaign than anything else.  I think the risks of a weakly supported impeachment of Trump after the midterms would be palpable precisely because the effects of that on the 2020 race would be short-term, so those risks should at least be considered. If the case is strong, however, I think any party should proceed with it out of sheer duty to the country, regardless of the political consequences.