Georgia going way of Virginia or North Carolina (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 09, 2024, 08:51:54 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  Georgia going way of Virginia or North Carolina (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Georgia going way of Virginia or North Carolina  (Read 1210 times)
If my soul was made of stone
discovolante
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,244
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.13, S: -5.57

« on: December 06, 2020, 09:33:32 PM »

I believe 2000 was the last time until now that NC voted to the right of GA. I think it'll be a highly competitive state based on fluctuations in the turnout of each party's base until rural population reaches a floor as a proportion of the statewide population and/or leftward lurches in the exurbs continue until you see the GOP claim less than 65% in counties like Cherokee or Forsyth or smaller metro counties like Lowndes or Houston come within single digits. With what little knowledge we can have now towards its future trends, I'd call it a toss-up for the rest of the decade and lean D thereafter. North Carolina voting for Obama in 2008 is in my view probably analogous to Colorado voting for Clinton in 1992: a sort of warning shot of trends to come that took a while to be delivered on due to realigning demographics, but it could well turn out to be the next Florida if it stabilizes sooner.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 12 queries.