If my soul was made of stone
discovolante
YaBB God
Posts: 4,244
Political Matrix E: -8.13, S: -5.57
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« on: December 06, 2020, 09:33:32 PM » |
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I believe 2000 was the last time until now that NC voted to the right of GA. I think it'll be a highly competitive state based on fluctuations in the turnout of each party's base until rural population reaches a floor as a proportion of the statewide population and/or leftward lurches in the exurbs continue until you see the GOP claim less than 65% in counties like Cherokee or Forsyth or smaller metro counties like Lowndes or Houston come within single digits. With what little knowledge we can have now towards its future trends, I'd call it a toss-up for the rest of the decade and lean D thereafter. North Carolina voting for Obama in 2008 is in my view probably analogous to Colorado voting for Clinton in 1992: a sort of warning shot of trends to come that took a while to be delivered on due to realigning demographics, but it could well turn out to be the next Florida if it stabilizes sooner.
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