2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 648400 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #50 on: November 03, 2020, 07:43:01 PM »

The Miami-Dade county website says that early votes is completely reported, ED is not reported and mail vote is partially reported.

https://enr.electionsfl.org/DAD/2779/Summary/

The vast majority of the mail vote has been counted, though.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #51 on: November 03, 2020, 07:47:02 PM »

Quote
Nate Cohn, in New York 5m ago

Trump is doing way better than '16 in Hispanic and Cuban areas, and better in Black areas. Biden is doing better in older, white areas, but not by as much.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #52 on: November 03, 2020, 07:50:34 PM »

Latest dump in Palm Beach was good for Trump
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #53 on: November 03, 2020, 07:55:35 PM »

IIRC, it took a while for Trump's large win in Ohio to come across in 2016 as well.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #54 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:03 PM »

Large swing to Biden in Johnson County, KS, unsurprisingly
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #55 on: November 03, 2020, 08:15:01 PM »

Trump gaining compared to 2016 in a number of rural black counties.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #56 on: November 03, 2020, 08:16:20 PM »

The Rust Belt likely still saves Biden, but the Sun Belt doesn't seem to be coming through for him.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #57 on: November 03, 2020, 08:28:56 PM »

Trump currently winning Oakland County, MI?
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #58 on: November 03, 2020, 08:30:12 PM »

Trump doing very well in the Rio Grande Valley
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #59 on: November 03, 2020, 08:32:16 PM »

Cunningham lagging a couple points behind Biden in NC. Gotta like the GOP's chances of holding the Senate right now.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #60 on: November 03, 2020, 08:39:47 PM »

Collins running 12 points ahead of Trump in Maine
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #61 on: November 03, 2020, 08:47:09 PM »

Just wait: NM will be surprisingly close.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #62 on: November 03, 2020, 11:01:28 PM »

Trump appears to have flipped Mahoning County, OH.

Beautiful
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #63 on: November 03, 2020, 11:16:34 PM »

Trump is at 66% in Rockland County, NY so far
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #64 on: November 03, 2020, 11:29:56 PM »

The communist appears to be losing for Portland mayor.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #65 on: November 03, 2020, 11:40:28 PM »

When will NV report?
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #66 on: November 03, 2020, 11:57:28 PM »

Montgomery County, PA may vote to the left of Philadelphia...
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #67 on: November 04, 2020, 12:07:05 AM »

Trump is doing well in the NV rurals so far.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #68 on: November 04, 2020, 12:19:48 AM »

Doug Jones could have the worst loss for an incumbent Senator ever.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #69 on: November 04, 2020, 12:23:23 AM »

Doug Jones could have the worst loss for an incumbent Senator ever.

No, that's impossible. He very obviously can't beat Jacob Javits.

Okay, but that's not exactly in the same realm of discussion.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #70 on: November 04, 2020, 12:29:30 AM »

Why is Rhode Island still so close?
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #71 on: November 04, 2020, 01:09:09 AM »


Looks good for NV. What in the finks happened with Latinos elsewhere?

A lot more Hispanics in Clark than in Washoe.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #72 on: November 04, 2020, 01:18:05 AM »

Clark NV

Biden 388772 (54.41%)
Trump 314646 (44.04%)
Total 714520

Biden statewide lead about 50k in NV right now I believe

Looks like Biden's slight gain in Washoe offsets Trump's slight gain in Clark.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #73 on: November 04, 2020, 01:26:45 AM »

Trump can easily still win but if he loses the doomers, especially the big three tonight need to publicly apologize or be tossed from the site.

No matter what happens, the Republicans have kept the Senate which puts any victory lap for mainstream Dems off the table.

Unless both Senate seats go to runoffs and Democrats win (and Peters keeps his seat, which I haven’t actually seen anything about).

If Biden wins, the R's will win both runoffs.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,827


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #74 on: November 04, 2020, 01:31:17 AM »

Btw, what is actually going on with Alaska?

AP has Trump up 58-38 with 23% in.
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