NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)

[RI]

Seems realignment and county delegate allocation is going to really help Biden.

[RI]

After the results I plan going to bring back my "Is it over for Joe poll" or should I make a new one?

Is this really all that bad for him, at least compared to the others?

This will probably be Biden's best night of the primaries so far.

[RI]

https://twitter.com/ChrisBarrett/status/1231345694599811073

Sanders voted against comprehensive immigration reform, and his M4A and Green New Deal proposals are so expensive and far-fetched that they are far less likely to get passed than the plans of other candidates.  Meaning on all three of her issues, Sanders is the least likely candidate to actually enact positive change.

So I personally find a good number of Sanders' plans somewhat unrealistic, but one of Trump's major campaign points was also unrealistic (building a big beautiful wall along the Mexican border AND Mexico will pay for it).  

All I'm saying is that I'm not sure how much "unrealistic plans" affect whole-scale voting in today's political climate, though it might be different for Republicans vs. Democrats.  

The wall though costs around 50 billion while Bernie’s plan costs more than 60 trillion . Trump actually could have got the wall passed if he wanted to but it’s just that he likes it more as a political issue rather than a policy one

Well, The GOP wants to build a wall, while Bernie wants everyone to be covered by healthcare insurance, takes care of the climate and incentivize millions of workers with a new deal, and while the GND costs a lot, it will also be good for the economy and yield earnings. Climate change should be no.1 priority. Scale back military costs, and increase tariffs, taxes on the rich and multinationals and we have the money.

I agree it isn't likely to be enacted, but sometimes a presidency is about prestige rather than ideas. Sanders as president would be a political revolution, which will dramatically change the Democratic Party, inspire young people, expand the progressive caucus and that's what we want.

64 trillion over 10 years isn’t at all possible though

If Sanders just taxes the Top 1% at an effective tax rate of 200% then he can pay for his health care plan. Simple! I did enjoy this tweet: https://twitter.com/charliekirk11/status/1231005642413858816

That's not how marginal tax rates work.

[RI]

CNN now has county delegates at:

Sanders 29%
Warren 19%
Biden 17%
Buttigieg 17%
Klobuchar 9%
Steyer 7%

Only 1% in though

[RI]

The officially reporting precincts

   Round 1   
Sanders   127   27.3%
Biden   61   13.1%
Warren   65   13.9%
Buttigieg   96   20.6%
Klobuchar   64   13.7%
Steyer   50   10.7%
Gabbard   2   0.4%
Bennet   0   0.0%
Delaney   0   0.0%
Patrick   0   0.0%
Yang   0   0.0%
Uncom   1   0.2%

   Round 2   
Sanders   125   27.5%
Biden   57   12.5%
Warren   69   15.2%
Buttigieg   106   23.3%
Klobuchar   67   14.7%
Steyer   27   5.9%
Gabbard   0   0.0%
Bennet   0   0.0%
Delaney   0   0.0%
Patrick   0   0.0%
Yang   0   0.0%
Uncom   4   0.9%

   Delegates   
Sanders   22   29.3%
Biden   13   17.3%
Warren   14   18.7%
Buttigieg   13   17.3%
Klobuchar   7   9.3%
Steyer   5   6.7%
Gabbard   0   0.0%
Bennet   0   0.0%
Delaney   0   0.0%
Patrick   0   0.0%
Yang   0   0.0%
Uncom   1   1.3%

[RI]

89 precincts:

   Round 1   
Sanders   1520   33.7%
Biden   749   16.6%
Warren   606   13.4%
Buttigieg   788   17.5%
Klobuchar   408   9.0%
Steyer   377   8.4%
Gabbard   17   0.4%
Bennet   8   0.2%
Delaney   0   0.0%
Patrick   0   0.0%
Yang   25   0.6%
Uncom   13   0.3%

   Round 2   
Sanders   1700   38.8%
Biden   775   17.7%
Warren   558   12.7%
Buttigieg   824   18.8%
Klobuchar   330   7.5%
Steyer   175   4.0%
Gabbard   0   0.0%
Bennet   0   0.0%
Delaney   2   0.0%
Patrick   0   0.0%
Yang   5   0.1%
Uncom   8   0.2%

   Delegates   
Sanders   280   44.7%
Biden   122   19.5%
Warren   74   11.8%
Buttigieg   98   15.6%
Klobuchar   27   4.3%
Steyer   23   3.7%
Gabbard   1   0.2%
Bennet   0   0.0%
Delaney   0   0.0%
Patrick   0   0.0%
Yang   0   0.0%
Uncom   2   0.3%

[RI]

Serious question:

When is the other 90% released ?

We are talking about 150.000 or so votes ...

No one knows

[RI]

237 precincts:

   Round 1   
Sanders   4659   31.5%
Biden   2993   20.3%
Buttigieg   2407   16.3%
Warren   1760   11.9%
Steyer   1373   9.3%
Klobuchar   1379   9.3%
Bennet   19   0.1%
Uncom   55   0.4%
Gabbard   47   0.3%
Yang   84   0.6%
Patrick   3   0.0%
Delaney   1   0.0%

   Round 2   
Sanders   5326   37.0%
Biden   3447   24.0%
Buttigieg   2607   18.1%
Warren   1386   9.6%
Steyer   532   3.7%
Klobuchar   1006   7.0%
Bennet   4   0.0%
Uncom   54   0.4%
Gabbard   0   0.0%
Yang   11   0.1%
Patrick   0   0.0%
Delaney   3   0.0%

   Delegates   
Sanders   907   44.1%
Biden   514   25.0%
Buttigieg   307   14.9%
Warren   172   8.4%
Steyer   76   3.7%
Klobuchar   73   3.6%
Bennet   4   0.2%
Uncom   2   0.1%
Gabbard   1   0.0%
Yang   0   0.0%
Patrick   0   0.0%
Delaney   0   0.0%

[RI]

So the party is waiting on having the physical worksheet from each precinct in their possession to publish that precinct's results?

[RI]

484 precincts:

   Round 1   
Sanders   9709   33.2%
Biden   5695   19.5%
Buttigieg   4573   15.6%
Warren   3534   12.1%
Steyer   2643   9.0%
Klobuchar   2627   9.0%
Bennet   37   0.1%
Uncom   125   0.4%
Gabbard   100   0.3%
Yang   184   0.6%
Patrick   3   0.0%
Delaney   1   0.0%

   Round 2   
Sanders   11267   39.3%
Biden   6404   22.3%
Buttigieg   5058   17.6%
Warren   2992   10.4%
Steyer   1020   3.6%
Klobuchar   1798   6.3%
Bennet   6   0.0%
Uncom   99   0.3%
Gabbard   0   0.0%
Yang   15   0.1%
Patrick   17   0.1%
Delaney   7   0.0%

   Delegates   
Sanders   1933   46.2%
Biden   986   23.6%
Buttigieg   581   13.9%
Warren   371   8.9%
Steyer   156   3.7%
Klobuchar   141   3.4%
Bennet   4   0.1%
Uncom   4   0.1%
Gabbard   3   0.1%
Yang   0   0.0%
Patrick   1   0.0%
Delaney   0   0.0%

[RI]

570 precincts:

   Round 1   
Sanders   11374   33.4%
Biden   6481   19.1%
Buttigieg   5355   15.7%
Warren   4188   12.3%
Steyer   3030   8.9%
Klobuchar   3055   9.0%
Uncom   147   0.4%
Bennet   45   0.1%
Gabbard   112   0.3%
Patrick   15   0.0%
Yang   216   0.6%
Delaney   1   0.0%

   Round 2   
Sanders   13206   39.6%
Biden   7257   21.7%
Buttigieg   6037   18.1%
Warren   3523   10.6%
Steyer   1113   3.3%
Klobuchar   2061   6.2%
Uncom   121   0.4%
Bennet   7   0.0%
Gabbard   0   0.0%
Patrick   17   0.1%
Yang   16   0.0%
Delaney   9   0.0%

   Delegates
Sanders   2268   46.6%
Biden   1106   22.7%
Buttigieg   704   14.5%
Warren   431   8.9%
Steyer   181   3.7%
Klobuchar   160   3.3%
Uncom   4   0.1%
Bennet   6   0.1%
Gabbard   3   0.1%
Patrick   1   0.0%
Yang   2   0.0%
Delaney   0   0.0%

[RI]

96% reporting (2018 precincts):

   Round 1   
Sanders   33630   34.0%
Biden   17418   17.6%
Buttigieg   15117   15.3%
Warren   12768   12.9%
Steyer   8928   9.0%
Klobuchar   9454   9.6%
Yang   591   0.6%
Uncom   451   0.5%
Delaney   18   0.0%
Bennet   129   0.1%
Patrick   66   0.1%
Gabbard   333   0.3%

   Round 2   
Sanders   38795   40.4%
Biden   18340   19.1%
Buttigieg   16611   17.3%
Warren   11115   11.6%
Steyer   3830   4.0%
Klobuchar   6952   7.2%
Yang   41   0.0%
Uncom   346   0.4%
Delaney   2   0.0%
Bennet   12   0.0%
Patrick   25   0.0%
Gabbard   39   0.0%

   Delegates   
Sanders   6589   46.8%
Biden   2872   20.4%
Buttigieg   1960   13.9%
Warren   1381   9.8%
Steyer   652   4.6%
Klobuchar   595   4.2%
Yang   5   0.0%
Uncom   5   0.0%
Delaney   5   0.0%
Bennet   2   0.0%
Patrick   1   0.0%
Gabbard   0   0.0%

[RI]

99% reporting (2097/2101 precincts):

   Round 1   
Sanders   35652   34.0%
Biden   18424   17.6%
Buttigieg   16102   15.4%
Warren   13438   12.8%
Steyer   9503   9.1%
Klobuchar   10100   9.6%
Uncom   472   0.5%
Gabbard   353   0.3%
Yang   612   0.6%
Bennet   140   0.1%
Patrick   86   0.1%
Delaney   1   0.0%

   Round 2   
Sanders   41075   40.5%
Biden   19179   18.9%
Buttigieg   17598   17.3%
Warren   11703   11.5%
Steyer   4120   4.1%
Klobuchar   7376   7.3%
Uncom   367   0.4%
Gabbard   32   0.0%
Yang   49   0.0%
Bennet   36   0.0%
Patrick   8   0.0%
Delaney   0   0.0%

   Delegates   
Sanders   6788   46.8%
Biden   2927   20.2%
Buttigieg   2073   14.3%
Warren   1406   9.7%
Steyer   682   4.7%
Klobuchar   603   4.2%
Uncom   7   0.0%
Gabbard   4   0.0%
Yang   1   0.0%
Bennet   0   0.0%
Patrick   0   0.0%
Delaney   0   0.0%

[RI]

There are just 2097 precincts, so 100% is counted.

Ok, NYT's precinct map said 2101 total precincts.

[RI]

Let's repeat that Sanders won 34% of the vote, at least the vote that was important for entrance/exit polls.

I hope you don't injure yourself with all that twisting.

Either Sanders
- won the first three states, including a moderate win in Nevada, or
- tied in Iowa and won huge in Nevada

You can't have it both ways, my friend.

When you're comparing exit polls to results, only the first preference matters.