New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT) (user search)
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  New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT) (search mode)
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Author Topic: New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)  (Read 51989 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,821


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« on: February 11, 2020, 02:20:54 PM »

Voter turnout numbers (as of 12:30 pm) to over-analyze from college towns:



Sanders 2016 performance in each location:

Durham: 70.3%
Plymouth: 79.2%
Hanover: 53.1%
Keene Ward 1: 82.6%


Ivy League elites coming out big for Wall Street Pete
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,821


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #1 on: February 11, 2020, 10:56:33 PM »


My wife thinks he looks like the Grinch when he smiles.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,821


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #2 on: February 11, 2020, 11:21:15 PM »

If Buttigieg is somehow Macron, then Sanders is Corbyn, full stop.

Both are true.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,821


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2020, 10:48:45 AM »

NH Dem primary exit polls showed 2016 Dem primary vote was (Clinton 50%,Sanders 30%, Neither 18%).  I get the fact that Clinton ultimately winning the 2016 Dem nomination would bias these results but Sanders blew out Clinton in 2016 60-38. What happen to the Sanders 2016 NH base ?  It seems a bunch of them did not even bother coming out to vote in the Dem primary. 

You have a link to that?  Maybe those who voted Bernie in 2016 and were voting for someone else this time didn't want to admit they voted Bernie in 2016.  Very unlikely that they stayed home.

Exit polls showed the exact same thing in Iowa. A lot of 2016 Bernie voters have left the party entirely.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,821


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #4 on: February 17, 2020, 05:39:33 PM »

The county map of Republicans writing in Democratic candidates was actually more interesting than the overall Democratic map. Buttigieg won Hillsborough, Rockingham, Belknap, and Sullivan. Sanders won Cheshire and Coos, Klobuchar won Merrimack and Strafford, and Bloomberg won Carroll and Grafton. Steyer and Gabbard had some interesting results as well.
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