Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results) (user search)
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  Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)  (Read 154181 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: February 03, 2020, 01:25:34 PM »
So the Warren supporter didn't realign to Sanders, so is their vote "exhausted"?
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RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2020, 01:41:33 PM »
Sanders is officially winning the black vote so far.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2020, 02:34:58 PM »
First round vote so far:

18 Sanders (75%)
  2 Buttigieg (8%)
  2 Klobuchar (8%)
  2 Warren (8%)

Second round vote:

19 Sanders (83%)
  2 Buttigieg (9%)
  2 Klobuchar (9%)
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2020, 02:41:14 PM »
Quote from: SlamDunk on February 03, 2020, 02:39:30 PM
I don't want to read too much into these super tiny early caucuses, but it is a little bit strange that there hasn't been anyone showing up for Biden yet. It'd be kinda funny if he just absolutely blows out every other caucus and ends up winning >30% lol

I imagine Biden's voters will tend to be older and thus be far less likely to need to use a satellite caucus.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2020, 03:23:26 PM »
Quote from: bilaps on February 03, 2020, 03:22:51 PM


Big wave of Biden voters incoming.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: February 03, 2020, 03:40:19 PM »
First round vote so far:

27 Sanders (56%)
  7 Buttigieg (15%)
  7 Warren (15%)
  4 Biden (8%)
  2 Klobuchar (4%)
  1 Yang (2%)

Second round vote:

28 Sanders (60%)
  7 Buttigieg (15%)
  6 Warren (13%)
  4 Biden (9%)
  2 Klobuchar (4%)
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: February 03, 2020, 03:51:00 PM »
The Boomers are taking their first alignment in Port Charlotte now.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: February 03, 2020, 03:58:44 PM »
Quote from: 👁👁 on February 03, 2020, 03:55:40 PM
Quote from: Dr. RI on February 03, 2020, 03:51:00 PM
The Boomers are taking their first alignment in Port Charlotte now.

Brace for Klobmentum with all those Klobuchar stickers in the picture from FL.

Klobuchar takes 48/134 first round votes in PC.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: February 03, 2020, 04:10:55 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on February 03, 2020, 04:10:22 PM
Quote from: Dr. RI on February 03, 2020, 03:58:44 PM
Quote from: 👁👁 on February 03, 2020, 03:55:40 PM
Quote from: Dr. RI on February 03, 2020, 03:51:00 PM
The Boomers are taking their first alignment in Port Charlotte now.

Brace for Klobmentum with all those Klobuchar stickers in the picture from FL.

Klobuchar takes 48/134 first round votes in PC.

What were the rest of the results?

I don't have them yet.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: February 03, 2020, 04:12:57 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2020, 04:16:12 PM by Dr. RI »
so far in PC

47 Klobuchar
38 Buttigieg
32 Biden

17 unknown

Neither Sanders nor Warren viable in Port Charlotte.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #10 on: February 03, 2020, 04:23:20 PM »
Quote from: n1240 on February 03, 2020, 04:22:22 PM
Port Charlotte Satellite Caucus First Alignment results

Klobuchar 48
Buttigieg 38
Biden 33
Warren 12
Steyer 2
Sanders 1
Yang 1

Steyer ahead of Sanders...
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #11 on: February 03, 2020, 04:25:03 PM »
Updated first round results:

54 Klobuchar (25%)
50 Buttigieg (23%)
42 Sanders (19%)
37 Biden (17%)
30 Warren (14%)
  4 Yang (2%)
  2 Steyer (1%)
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #12 on: February 03, 2020, 04:29:32 PM »
Quote from: Calm NH Lib on February 03, 2020, 04:28:31 PM
Quote from: Dr. RI on February 03, 2020, 04:25:03 PM
Updated first round results:

54 Klobuchar (25%)
50 Buttigieg (23%)
42 Sanders (19%)
37 Biden (17%)
30 Warren (14%)
  4 Yang (2%)
  2 Steyer (1%)

Is this in total or just Port Charlotte?

Total
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #13 on: February 03, 2020, 04:33:21 PM »
Second round Port Charlotte results:

56 Klobuchar
43 Buttigieg
33 Biden

Biden picked up zero votes
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #14 on: February 03, 2020, 04:34:23 PM »
Overall second round results:

61 Buttigieg (29%)
61 Klobuchar (29%)
43 Sanders (20%)
37 Biden (17%)
12 Warren (6%)
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #15 on: February 03, 2020, 04:37:59 PM »
One thing I find interesting: Bernie is picking up virtually no support from Warren or Yang. Warren's supporters seems to prefer Klobuchar and Buttigieg. Yang voters are preferring Warren.

Small sample, obviously.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #16 on: February 03, 2020, 04:50:39 PM »
It's a little behind, but the DMR has an active results page up: https://features.desmoinesregister.com/news/politics/iowa-caucuses-results-alignment/
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #17 on: February 03, 2020, 05:00:11 PM »
Quote from: ilikeverin on February 03, 2020, 04:58:49 PM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on February 03, 2020, 04:58:21 PM
Quote from: 👁👁 on February 03, 2020, 04:23:40 PM
Quote from: n1240 on February 03, 2020, 04:22:22 PM
Port Charlotte Satellite Caucus First Alignment results

Klobuchar 48
Buttigieg 38
Biden 33
Warren 12
Steyer 2
Sanders 1
Yang 1

Was this caucus literally held in a nursing home or something?

It sure looked like it.

I think it was a Unitarian Universalist church.

So, same thing.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #18 on: February 03, 2020, 06:01:32 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on February 03, 2020, 05:57:19 PM


Wow, big result for Sanders in Des Moines.

Overall first round results:

90 Sanders (30%)
58 Buttigieg (20%)
55 Klobuchar (19%)
45 Warren (15%)
39 Biden (13%)
  7 Yang (2%)
  2 Steyer (1%)
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #19 on: February 03, 2020, 07:51:07 PM »
They'll release second and third waves of entrance polls which will be more Sanders-friendly.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #20 on: February 03, 2020, 08:22:52 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on February 03, 2020, 08:22:01 PM
The exit poll data up on CNN has some very glaring issues, likely there are significant inputting errors still to be rectified.

Apparently 100% have college degrees?
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #21 on: February 03, 2020, 08:28:49 PM »
Quote from: marty on February 03, 2020, 08:26:47 PM
Trump at only 97

Yikes

Obama got like 99.8 in Iowa in 2012

You can't compare the Dem and GOP Iowa caucuses (at least prior to this year).
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #22 on: February 03, 2020, 09:00:03 PM »
Quote from: bilaps on February 03, 2020, 08:59:15 PM
DMR has started updating. They had only some satelite, now they have 14 precints first votes

DMR has Bloomberg at 7%.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #23 on: February 03, 2020, 10:49:43 PM »
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,834


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #24 on: February 03, 2020, 10:59:23 PM »
It certainly seems like Sanders is going to get screwed over in the final vote to SDE conversion.
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