Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET) (user search)
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  Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)  (Read 61841 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: February 20, 2016, 06:10:05 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 20, 2016, 06:07:26 PM
Will the news orgs call it for TRUMP the moment polls close?

CNN will probably say it's "too early to call."
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2016, 06:27:57 PM »
Looks like Rubio's unlikely to win. Thank God.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2016, 06:30:00 PM »
If Trump can repeat his >40% showing among early deciders from NH, he'll be fine. Big if, though.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2016, 06:32:57 PM »
So Trump's leading with economy and immigration (probably), Cruz with terrorism, and unknown with spending.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2016, 06:36:05 PM »
Do these exit polls account for the absentee ballots?
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2016, 06:36:43 PM »
Quote from: DavidB. on February 20, 2016, 06:35:52 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 20, 2016, 06:32:57 PM
So Trump's leading with economy and immigration (probably), Cruz with terrorism, and unknown with spending.
Why would Trump be leading with economy?

Because it was revealed earlier by ABC?
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: February 20, 2016, 06:59:50 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on February 20, 2016, 06:58:56 PM
If those results are accurate, the media will write Cruz's obituary, slam Trump's underperformance, give Rubio all the momentum, then crown him inevitable nominee after he wins NV.

It's happening.

Rubio won't win Nevada.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: February 20, 2016, 07:08:15 PM »
First numbers from DDHQ:

Donald Trump 35.7%
Ted Cruz 21.2%
Marco Rubio 17.9%
Jeb Bush 15.5%
Ben Carson 5.2%
John Kasich 4.5%
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: February 20, 2016, 07:11:40 PM »

They got the same numbers as CNN before CNN did.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: February 20, 2016, 07:13:01 PM »
Those are absentees from Lexington County
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #10 on: February 20, 2016, 07:14:30 PM »
If Trump has that kind of lead with absentees, he should beat his exit poll numbers.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #11 on: February 20, 2016, 07:22:32 PM »
Quote from: Paleocon on February 20, 2016, 07:21:55 PM
Does anyone know how very conservative voters voted?

Exit polls have them going heavily for Cruz.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #12 on: February 20, 2016, 07:30:35 PM »
DDHQ has Rubio leading Oconee County
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #13 on: February 20, 2016, 07:35:23 PM »
Trump romping in Horry County. Not too surprising.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #14 on: February 20, 2016, 07:41:27 PM »

DDHQ has Trump leading there.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #15 on: February 20, 2016, 07:54:45 PM »
Very possible Trump wins every county again.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #16 on: February 20, 2016, 10:09:00 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 20, 2016, 10:03:01 PM
Does anyone know whether Trump ended up cracking 30% in Lexington County? CNN and NYT have him at 30.0 but I don't know if they're rounding up.

Just under 30%.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #17 on: February 20, 2016, 10:49:15 PM »

Looks like they corrected the error.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #18 on: February 20, 2016, 11:36:29 PM »
Each of the six candidates won at least one precinct in SC. As far as I can tell, Bush only won one precinct, which would be the only precinct he won in the entire race. He got 8 votes in that precinct in Columbia County.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #19 on: February 21, 2016, 03:11:46 AM »
Quote from: True Federalist on February 21, 2016, 03:00:18 AM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 20, 2016, 11:36:29 PM
Each of the six candidates won at least one precinct in SC. As far as I can tell, Bush only won one precinct, which would be the only precinct he won in the entire race. He got 8 votes in that precinct in Columbia County.
Why would early votes from Georgia count? Or were you thinking of Richland County?

Yeah, that's what I meant.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,818


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #20 on: February 21, 2016, 07:36:44 PM »
Precinct map (Trump blue, Bush orange, others standard), for those who don't like visiting my thread:
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