StackStrat - Biden +3 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 18, 2024, 11:42:15 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  StackStrat - Biden +3 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: StackStrat - Biden +3  (Read 1070 times)
BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,545
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW
« on: April 25, 2024, 09:21:18 AM »

I seriously doubt that a 3 point national victory would give Biden all of the key swing states except Georgia. The way things are looking now a 3 point national win seems unlikely to actually be enough to get to 270.
Logged
BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,545
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW
« Reply #1 on: April 25, 2024, 10:06:02 AM »

I seriously doubt that a 3 point national victory would give Biden all of the key swing states except Georgia. The way things are looking now a 3 point national win seems unlikely to actually be enough to get to 270.

If the margin narrows in NY and FL becomes safe R, it's possible. Trump's EC advantage seems to have faded a bit and Biden could win with a 3 pt. margin. Of courde would better for him to win by 4-5 pts.
Theoretically, yes, but I want to see some good swing state polling for Biden before I believe it. They have been atrocious so far.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 13 queries.