Make Florida Blue Again and end Trumps chances immediatedly on Election Night (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Make Florida Blue Again and end Trumps chances immediatedly on Election Night (search mode)
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Author Topic: Make Florida Blue Again and end Trumps chances immediatedly on Election Night  (Read 1353 times)
BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,435
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW
« on: March 17, 2024, 01:16:31 PM »

Lovin' the red avatar from 2016!
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BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,435
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW
« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2024, 01:25:50 PM »

North Carolina is the only real pickup opportunity for Biden this time. That alone gives him a lot more room for error. Winning both NC and GA allows him to break 300 while losing both Nevada and Arizona, which I suppose is a possibility if he experiences a similar drop in hispanic support that he did last year.
Florida has a History of Voting for Incumbent Presidents running for Re-Election:

1984: Ronald Reagan
1992: George H. W. Bush despite him losing the Election Overall
1996: Bill Clinton
2004: George W. Bush
2012: Barack H. Obama
2020: Donald J. Trump despite losing the Election Overall
2024: Biden?

The last time Florida did not vote for an Incumbent President running for Re-Election was in 1980.

It is interesting that the only time Florida has trended left in the last 20 years was 2012.  People often talk about Hawaii being very pro-incumbent, but it’s never really occurred to me that this might also be true to an extent in FL.
Could just be a product of Florida being a perennial swing state, perhaps combined with a very old population who are perhaps generally more likely to vote for the known quantity?
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BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,435
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW
« Reply #2 on: March 18, 2024, 03:59:03 AM »

Thanks Smiley Yesterday was the last straw for me.

Out of curiosity what happened yesterday?

Glad to have you on board the Biden train.  America First!  F--k China and Russia.
Trumps Ohio Rally on Saturday tipped the scale for me. I had to sleep over 24 Hours and then I came to the conclusion I had to support D's in all branches of Government for 2024.
Good call!

Do you have any insights into how to turn Republicans against the party that has now been thoroughly overtaken by the MAGA cult? I know that you supported Trump in 2016, but I also know that you went off him a while back even though I am not sure when. I have been of the opinion that people who are still supporting republicans are basically out of reach, but maybe you are evidence to the contrary. Any thoughts?
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