As others have said, this won't matter. COVID didn't matter electorally in 2020, and that was near the peak of the pandemic. It's deplorable, but that's just the way it is.
What planet are you from?
He's from Earth.
The 2020 results were in line with polls from before the pandemic. We really are that polarized. Fox News politicized the pandemic, and because of that, it instantly didn't matter.
This. And also, while COVID may have increased turnout against Trump in the suburbs, it may also have increased turnout FOR Trump amongst the conspiratorial parts of the electorate (and energized people who don't normally vote at all). Anti vaxxers used to be primarily left wing nutters (and often minorities), but these days most of them have migrated to Qanon and joined the Trump-cult. People talk about violence and insurrections from Qanon, but likely the more real theat of Qanon is strengthening the far right by attracting the nuttier conspiratorial parts of the left to Qanon. If the election becomes between the party viewed as the sane, but "elitist" party against the insane, but anti-elitist party, I'm not so confident that the sane party wins, unfortunately. People are just THAT stupid and when you combine the stupid with the cynical you may not be able to stop them, as we have seen in the past.
So COVID most certainly had an IMPACT on the 2020 election, but in my view did not CAUSE Trump to lose, but rather energized voters on both sides and shook up the electorate in general. In 2024, with less motivation to vote against Trump and possible fatigue with Biden, it looks far from certain that disaster can be avoided.