Voters attracted to "establishment" candidates who prioritize national security/stability + the economy
BINGO! This is the common denominator!
Who in their right mind would vote for Bush against Kerry with hindsight? I honestly doubt the validity of these voters you mention lol.
It’s not with hindsight , it’s their feelings at the time . They supported Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004 but weren’t eligible to vote either time
If they supported Gore in 2000, they are even more likely to be a southern Democrat.
A disaffected white, working-class Democrat from Arkansas who supported Bill Clinton's runs for Governor and President, voted Kerry '04, and supported Hillary Clinton in the 2008 primaries, but reluctantly voted for Obama's message of "Hope and Change" in 2008. Disappointed by slow economic recovery, the voter fell for Republican efforts to "make Obama a one-term President" in 2012, but "came home" (I hate that term in 2016 to vote for Hillary. Having seen the economy remain stable and having been energized by Trump speaking on behalf of the angry white man, this voter intends to vote Trump in 2020 and will remain Republican thereafter.
I did not read your paragraph.
