PEI General Election 2015 (user search)
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Author Topic: PEI General Election 2015  (Read 19644 times)
the506
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« on: April 04, 2015, 01:09:06 PM »
« edited: April 04, 2015, 01:11:00 PM by the506 »
Definitely May 4th. It's the only day before Mothers Day that fits the minimum campaign length and the requirement that all elections be on a Monday.

Right after MacLauchlan took office, they were blindsided by the e-gaming scandal:
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/small-island-big-bet-how-pei-lost-its-online-gambling-gamble/article23237214/

No polls since then, so we can't measure the political impact yet. The most recent poll from February (http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/liberal-lead-holding-on-p-e-i-poll-1.2981184) had the Liberals leading 58-26. Don't expect many during the campaign either. It's a tiny province.
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the506
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« Reply #1 on: April 06, 2015, 05:55:59 PM »
May 4th actually. Gave MacLauchlan a reason to make a bunch of gratuitous Star Wars references in his speech.
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the506
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« Reply #2 on: April 07, 2015, 07:54:50 PM »
This is how predictable PEI politics is: the last 3 governments have been voted out on exactly their 4th election.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/elections/prince-edward-island-votes/p-e-i-election-a-50-year-tradition-on-the-line-1.3023495
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the506
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« Reply #3 on: April 18, 2015, 01:40:07 PM »
The Greens seem to be following the May/Coon strategy anyway and pushing all their efforts into getting Peter Bevan-Baker elected.
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the506
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« Reply #4 on: April 21, 2015, 11:38:21 AM »
A voter originally from Denmark and upset with FPTP moves to the Green leader's riding. Faces $2000 fine.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/elections/prince-edward-island-votes/moving-for-election-could-draw-2k-fine-jail-time-1.3041779
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the506
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Posts: 379
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« Reply #5 on: April 21, 2015, 02:40:20 PM »
Never heard of these folks, but we have our first poll. 43-27-18-12.

http://www.abingdon.ca/media/2015/04/Abingdon-Research-poll-of-PEI-election-puts-the-Liberals-in-the-lead.pdf

Apparently CRA (pollster of record on the east coast) is putting something out soon, I'd wait to see what they say.
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the506
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« Reply #6 on: April 25, 2015, 09:11:13 AM »
CRA: 44-35-14-6.

http://www.theguardian.pe.ca/Decision-15/2015-04-25/article-4124329/Liberals-ahead%2C-Tories-narrow-gap-as-P.E.I.-election-looms%3A-poll/1
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the506
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« Reply #7 on: April 27, 2015, 02:55:08 PM »
Debate tonight on CBC.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/elections/prince-edward-island-votes/p-e-i-campaign-trail-leaders-prepare-for-debate-1.3050038
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the506
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« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2015, 06:39:32 PM »
« Edited: May 01, 2015, 07:57:25 PM by the506 »
Greens release internal poll showing Bevan-Baker ahead in his seat.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/elections/prince-edward-island-votes/green-party-poll-shows-tight-district-race-between-bevan-baker-docherty-1.3053752

They're following the David Coon playbook to the letter. They leaked a very similar poll right around this time.
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the506
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« Reply #9 on: May 04, 2015, 09:36:33 AM »
Election day. My prediction: 20-6-1.

Polls close at 7 AT (6 ET). Only TV coverage is CBC, which will be streaming here: http://www.cbc.ca/news/elections/prince-edward-island-votes
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the506
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Posts: 379
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« Reply #10 on: May 04, 2015, 07:25:46 PM »
They were. Cardy won the most urban parts.
http://www.election-atlas.ca/nb/49/43.php?e=2014

Redmond won one poll.
http://results.electionspei.ca/district/3.htm
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the506
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Posts: 379
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« Reply #11 on: May 04, 2015, 07:35:31 PM »
2-vote win for the Liberals in Vernon River-Stratford: http://results.electionspei.ca/district/5.htm
And Georgetown-St. Peter's comes down to the advance vote: http://results.electionspei.ca/district/2.htm
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the506
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« Reply #12 on: May 04, 2015, 09:34:34 PM »
Quote from: adma on May 04, 2015, 08:55:57 PM
And once again, my favouritely-named elected politician, Bush Dumville (cue the Crawford, TX jokes), is reelected...

He used to own the local Burger King franchise and did his own commercials. Master salesman he wasn't.

https://youtu.be/tQgk5yWOeJ8?t=22m18s
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the506
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Posts: 379
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« Reply #13 on: May 19, 2015, 10:09:15 PM »
Vernon River-Stratford recount ends in a tie. Liberals win by coin toss. Seriously.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/liberal-alan-mcisaac-wins-seat-in-coin-toss-after-recount-tie-1.3079433
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