Polish Politics and Elections (user search)
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June 06, 2024, 07:47:49 AM
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Author Topic: Polish Politics and Elections  (Read 114078 times)
tepoe
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Posts: 19
Hungary


« on: October 16, 2023, 06:20:47 AM »

I will say that it looks like KWN may be underestimated in the exit poll. They're on track to snatch a couple seats in constituencies they did not win in 2019.

Can you name some of those seats? I just checked the partial results of a dozen constituencies, and I have missed the signs of potential Konfederacja gains.
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tepoe
Rookie
**
Posts: 19
Hungary


« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2023, 08:05:14 AM »

I will say that it looks like KWN may be underestimated in the exit poll. They're on track to snatch a couple seats in constituencies they did not win in 2019.

Can you name some of those seats? I just checked the partial results of a dozen constituencies, and I have missed the signs of potential Konfederacja gains.

1 - Legnica
5 - Toruń
7 - Chełm
11 - Sieradz
18 - Siedlice
24 - Białystok
36 - Kalisz

But if they end up around 7%, as the partial result-based estimations say, at least in some of these districts will fall below the de facto treshold. d'Hondt lottery at its best.
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