http://cjonline.com/news/2014-09-21/ormans-link-jailed-investor-deeper-portrayedOrman is releasing his financial disclosure report tomorrow, which could be big news. I'm not particularly caught up on this story, but it is going to be giving Republicans a good attack line for the next couple of weeks.
I honestly believe Roberts will win. His numbers are low do to bitter Wolf supports and disdain for Brownback. I think Roberts will be able to win back most of the Wolf supporters by November and I think he'll be able to overcome Brownback by using the Senate majority argument. No one knows much about Greg Orman except for the fact that he's an Independent (omg yay) and promises to be bi-partisan. I even asked a Democratic loyalist the other day to tell me about Orman's views and they were defenseless.
Ultimately, the only thing dragging Roberts down is the residency issue. He's been a fairly good senator for this state and hasn't done anything too objectionable. Orman is going to keep this close, but my guess is that Roberts wins around 52-47.