Is Obama unstoppable? (user search)
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  Is Obama unstoppable? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Can Republicans beat Obama?
#1
Of course they will beat him
 
#2
They'll screw it up by picking [insert candidate here]
 
#3
The economy has to go into a double dip recession
 
#4
They can, but the campaign will get really ugly
 
#5
They don't stand a chance
 
#6
Still too early to tell
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 84

Author Topic: Is Obama unstoppable?  (Read 4279 times)
Zarn
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Posts: 3,820


« on: February 20, 2011, 08:35:19 PM »

The GOP will pick Romney or someone equally disgusting. Obama wins, even though people won't like him.
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Zarn
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Posts: 3,820


« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2011, 10:35:19 PM »

Remember these days? https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=128507.0

Yeah. That was 3 months ago. The political mood will change many times between now and November 2012. If the election was held today against any of the Republican frontrunners, Obama would probably win decisively. But 3 months ago he probably would have lost. So the answer is of course too early to tell.

I could see him losing to Daniels, but Daniels won't win the nomination.
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Zarn
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Posts: 3,820


« Reply #2 on: February 21, 2011, 11:52:53 PM »

The Republicans need either a recession or a genius nominee.  They definitely don't have a genius right now.

Well, I'd qualify that as 'if the economy doesn't blow up again by Nov. 2012' since the real unemployment figures are obviously in the teens right now.  However, as it stands now I'd say too early to tell for once. The GOP field looks weak and his approvals are simply mediocre (if very heavily racially skewed) as opposed to god awful.

And what were Bush's approvals among white Evangelicals?  Probably over 75%, even in 2008.  Did Kennedy ever fall below 90% approval among Catholic voters?  Identity politics isn't confined to just one subset of the population, you know.

Did he ever have 90%?
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