Analysis of 2006 Predictions and Early Look @ 2008

[WMS]

Rhode Island Chafee (R) 50.1, Whitehouse (D) 48.4, Other 1.4
Actual: Chafee 53, Whitehouse 47
Not within MOE, WRONG WINNER
- At the end in the voting booth, RI voters moved away from Republicans.  You could see it in the Governor's race too.

*clears throat*

[WMS]

Rhode Island Chafee (R) 50.1, Whitehouse (D) 48.4, Other 1.4
Actual: Chafee 53, Whitehouse 47
Not within MOE, WRONG WINNER
- At the end in the voting booth, RI voters moved away from Republicans.  You could see it in the Governor's race too.

*clears throat*

I guess the "clears throat" thing means you predicted this.

Most of the time, I really do go by the polls which indicated a fairly clear, roughly 8-point Carcieri lead and a Chafee-Whitehouse tie.

Of course, I also said that I do not trust RI polling, so there. 

Actually, I meant that you need to swap Chafee and Whitehouse.