CBS/NYT National: Clinton +6/+4 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 12, 2024, 09:53:02 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  CBS/NYT National: Clinton +6/+4 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: CBS/NYT National: Clinton +6/+4  (Read 1892 times)
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,720


« on: October 03, 2016, 08:07:31 PM »

With the inclusion of this and today's other polls Clinton's margin on RCP (2-way) is +3.1. On Oct. 3 2012 (the day of the first Obama/Romney debate) Obama's margin was +3.1.

I don't understand why they keep adding the LA Times tracking poll. It's +Trump no matter what. Before they were just updating a single entry whenever a new one was released, but now they add a new entry for every new tracking poll and it's dragging her average down a decent bit. I only mention this one specific tracker because it seems like blatant junk.


The LA Times poll showed a Clinton lead for a good portion of August.  And you can't just start excluding perceived outliers from polling averages without messing up the average.  There are likely to be supposed pro-Clinton outliers on the other side that move the average the other way.

I also think talk of polls being "junk" is way premature.  You really won't know which poll is junk until after the election.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.031 seconds with 15 queries.