MI - The Detroit News/WDIV-TV/Glengariff: Clinton +7 (user search)
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  MI - The Detroit News/WDIV-TV/Glengariff: Clinton +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI - The Detroit News/WDIV-TV/Glengariff: Clinton +7  (Read 2196 times)
cinyc
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« on: September 29, 2016, 10:50:58 PM »
« edited: September 29, 2016, 11:22:48 PM by cinyc »

Clinton - 42% (+1 from poll ending August 1)
Trump - 35% (+3.4)
Johnson - 9% (+1.5)
Stein - 3% (-0.4)
Other Candidate 1% (+0)
Undecided/Refused 10% (-5.5)

I'm not sure why Glengariff loved decimals for their August poll but not this time.

Trump is supposedly up 20 in Macomb County but down 20 in neighboring Oakland County.  The MoE on those subsamples must be huge, but it sort of confirms the blue collar/white collar trends, I guess.  I doubt there will be that large a difference come election day, though.
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cinyc
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2016, 11:32:51 PM »

Damn!!! If Trump isn't clearing even 5% of Black voters in Detroit, it's not not looking good in Macomb, let alone places like Flint and Lansing.....

Trump is supposedly up 20 points in Macomb County, according to this poll - and supposedly down 20 in Oakland.  The swing between the two counties seems too high to be true.  Small sample size, high MoE.
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