Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results) (user search)
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  Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)  (Read 152634 times)
W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« on: February 03, 2020, 04:03:45 PM »
Is there anywhere we can get a tally of all these satellite caucus votes so far? I know they're statistically unimportant and probably skew from normal results but I think it would be nice to have a tally until we get into the main course.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2020, 04:49:56 PM »
St. Petersburg crowd on CNN right now, lot of Amy pins in the crowd. They just interviewed a Liz voter. Doors opening at 5 EST. 120 people.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2020, 04:53:12 PM »
These Arizona and Florida caucuses seem to be mostly retirees, expect a skew towards moderates. Still some Bernie people in Queen Creek however.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2020, 05:13:03 PM »
While satellite caucuses are overall unimportant I think Klobuchar's performance so far certainly bodes well for her in the actual caucuses.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2020, 05:49:49 PM »
Quote from: Hydera on February 03, 2020, 05:30:42 PM
I could smell an astroturfing when i see one and im pretty sure its being done on twitter with the #Caucusforyang. Pretty sad since I supported him over the summer before switching to Bernie and you can smell how propped up and fake it is.

On the bright side he'll be either out after New Hampshire or Ron Paul level fringe.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #5 on: February 03, 2020, 06:06:15 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2020, 06:10:04 PM by W »
Drake University/Des Moines Caucus Round 1 (only percentages released)

Sanders 60.6%
Warren 21.1%
Buttigieg 11.3%
Yang 4.2%
Klobuchar 1.2%
Biden 1.2%

One Biden supporter in a room of 70. This bodes bad for Biden.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #6 on: February 03, 2020, 06:29:46 PM »


WHAT IS HAPPENING TO BIDEN?!

Warren and Bernie folks may merge.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #7 on: February 03, 2020, 06:42:23 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on February 03, 2020, 06:41:18 PM
Bernie is doomed.


..with people who own two homes in Arizona. I'll sleep easy.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #8 on: February 03, 2020, 06:44:58 PM »
Of course these numbers are insignificant to the overall results but these Arizona and Florida caucuses should be Biden's strong suit and a good hallmark for who he will do best for in-state. That is not happening. No one is saying he is doomed but this is an awful, awful start for a campaign that should be in 1st or 2nd in these precincts.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #9 on: February 03, 2020, 06:49:54 PM »
Wh-

Is Klobmentum real?
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #10 on: February 03, 2020, 06:55:29 PM »
We've had Klobuchar in 1st in 3 precincts, the 2 Florida ones and the Arizona one. Biden is about 10 points below in the teens. Clearly something is awry here, and I don't think it's stretching too much to say it may be a sign we should expect Biden to underperform.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #11 on: February 03, 2020, 07:17:42 PM »
Interesting note: Bernie supporter at caucus queue said he saw the satellite caucus votes and that he thought biden was gonna do bad thanks to it. There is certainly an effect that broadcasting the satellite caucuses has on the normal ones.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #12 on: February 03, 2020, 07:18:42 PM »
Older looking crowd in Sioux City.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #13 on: February 03, 2020, 07:29:00 PM »
Sanders group looks biggest in Des Moines.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #14 on: February 03, 2020, 07:53:02 PM »
CNN entrance poll has 59% for M4A lol, don't count your chickens before they hatch.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #15 on: February 03, 2020, 07:54:05 PM »
Not very many Klobheads in Des Moines rn. Interviewee said she'd go to Warren if Klob doesn't meet 15%.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #16 on: February 03, 2020, 07:58:00 PM »
I wouldn't take the entrance poll as gospel. Bernie's chances are still very good.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #17 on: February 03, 2020, 08:04:19 PM »
CNN is suggesting around 2008 level turnout.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #18 on: February 03, 2020, 08:08:26 PM »
Seeing a lot of caucusers for zombie candidates.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #19 on: February 03, 2020, 08:10:31 PM »
Yang appears to have more support in Grinnell than Biden lmao.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #20 on: February 03, 2020, 08:25:39 PM »
Yang beating Biden in Des Moines
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #21 on: February 03, 2020, 08:33:29 PM »
AP has projected Trump wins the GOP caucus. Shocker, ik.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #22 on: February 03, 2020, 08:35:54 PM »
Eyeballing it Klobuchar seems viable in Sioux City
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #23 on: February 03, 2020, 08:39:32 PM »
Joe Biden unviable in Des Moines suburb of Johnston according to NYT, same precinct Klobuchar is at rn.
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W
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.71, S: -8.61
« Reply #24 on: February 03, 2020, 08:43:34 PM »
Klobuchar officially viable in Sioux City.
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