Laxalt has this in the bag at this point. Interesting how Titus hasn’t increased vote share at all in the past several months. Horsford doing better than Titus is also interesting. Clearly, Nevada was a dummymander.
Its something we have seen before certainly and sure there is the "well gerry isn't designed to hold up in a wave", but at some point it becomes a case of rather than being a successful partisan gerrymander, it becomes and competitiveness gerrymander", unintentionally making more competitive seats.
What we need to see though is the new Hispanic data after this election and what portends long term and whether previous assumptions about the SW hold up. A lot of the movement towards the Democrats in that region was predicated on a sustained growth with the Latino vote and now if that is unraveled, you potentially begin to see massive impacts in Nevada and in New Mexico and it has implications for Presidential elections as well.
The only exception to this would be Colorado, where the college educated white vote is the main driver of the Democratic trend.
