Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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« on: October 23, 2022, 11:58:07 AM » |
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This poll is not really that crazy. Trump at 37% in New York is reasonable.
The reason why it is close, is because so many people are abstaining from voting for Biden, and many of those are probably going to vote Democratic obviously either down ballot or in the end, especially against Trump.
What this does illustrate, is that the administration is very unpopular with a large segment of the coalition that elected it and for some reason there is a large number of these people living in New York.
Look at the recent Florida poll numbers, a state which shares many demographics with New York.
Is the headline on November 9th going to be "Massive Hispanic Realignment"? That's what these numbers would tend to indicate, but we will have to see. Then even more so see if Republicans manage to subsequently piss it away if it is what happens in two weeks.
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