This along with the democratic internal showing Hawley moving into a tie from 4 points would indicate that Hawley has a narrow lead and the race is moving in his direction. Hawley also can't be upset with the fact that Missouri polls tend to underestimate republicans, looks like claire will finally get to spend more time with her private jets
Well, for one thing, that wasn't a Democratic internal. Posters were wrong that it was a Republican internal, but it was from Missouri Scout, which as far as I can tell has no partisan allegiance.
As for Republicans always outperforming the polls in MO...
Cool I'll inform senator Kander and governor Koster
I'm sure McCaskill will be fine with Koster and Kander underperforming the polls if she outperforms them by 10 points again.
Anyway, that was my point. Yeah, maybe Dems could underperform the polls in MO. Or overperform them. And that goes for the nation as a whole too. Who knows?
Well it should be remember that in 2012 there was a big overriding factor that would cause such a skew and that was Todd Akin. He was tied for a long time, even after the comments, that is until the deadline for withdrawal came by, then Claire nuke him in advertising. There were probably a number of undecided Romney votes who at the last minute decided they couldn't vote for Todd Akin.