What Phil doesn't get is that Obama may underperform in a working class Joe Plumber area such as NE Philly compared to Kerry but he will blow Kerry's numbers out the water among African Americans, students, white women, professionals and suburbanites. Obama is going to absolutely destroy McCain and the Philly Suburbs and match or exceed Kerry's Philly margin.
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I don't understand that that may happen? Is that why I have Obama winning the state by more than Kerry (as of now)?
By a few points yes, but your prediction would suggest that Pennsylvania moved considerably to the right vis a vis the national average.
