Miami–Dade County, Florida…and what else? (user search)
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  Miami–Dade County, Florida…and what else? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Miami–Dade County, Florida…and what else?  (Read 1648 times)
Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,925
« on: January 10, 2023, 08:05:51 PM »
Quote from: OriAr on January 07, 2023, 10:31:42 AM
The only one I can see flipping is Harris County in Texas if it's a really good night to the GOP.
I guess Orange County, CA might count but that's about it.
Harris is basically gone for the GOP as long as Dems contest Texas. Abbott lost it by 10, and unless the Dem candidate gets triaged in a red wave year its 99% a blue county now. I think Rs have a good shot at Orange county but the margin will likely be 1-2 pts instead of the +20s Bush got.
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Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,925
« Reply #1 on: January 17, 2023, 07:53:12 PM »
Quote from: Ragnaroni on January 16, 2023, 04:37:15 AM
Shouldn't Maricopa AZ be back within possibility?
Rs can win back Maricopa county, but the problem is even on the downballot their win margins are shrinking a lot. 10 years ago or so, Dems would struggle to get in the 40's now they are pushing into the 46/47 range. And that's just downballot, if you move top of the ticket Rs can still win the county but they are likely capped at maybe a 1 or 2 point win at this point.
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