PA-SEN 2024 megathread

[Arizona Iced Tea]

If this happens Casey might even be able to beat Mastriano by more than Shapiro did.

Unlikely, since federal races are more polarized but Casey would probably still win by double digits against Mastriano.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Given the results of this week, if Carolyn Carluccio was easily painted as anti-abortion when McCormick literally has *video footage* of him on record being anti-abortion, this could go even worse for him now. He'll be helped by Trump on the ballot, but I can't imagine it will be enough now.

Casey will probably win by 5 points imo

[Arizona Iced Tea]

I still am kind of surprised at the lack of ... anything from the McCormick campaign. He's unopposed in the primary, but you would think he'd giving out signs and getting the word out early or something. There's nothing, no presence whatsoever. Casey doesn't have much either, but he's also a established figure, while McCormick has a lot of work to do.

Not only that, but given McCormick's high fundraising (from rich people), he has enough money to start running some ads. He could even try and define Casey a bit early; but he's literally doing nothing.

I'm not expecting him to go full fledged in March, but the primary is already next month and he's just... there

Remember how Mastriano didn't start running ads on TV until literally two weeks before the 2022-GOV election? And he wasn't even in those ads save for "I'm Doug Mastriano and I approve this message". 

Yep, which did make sense given that he was broke. I'm more surprised that McCormick isn't doing anything given he has some $$$ but maybe he's just stockpiling it for now. Honestly, Dems/Casey should take this time where he's not doing anything and start defining him on the airwaves imo. Oz him.

There could be a small possibility that he simply gives up and doesn't run at all.

Why would anyone spend his fortune to lose by 10-15 points ?

In any case the GOP should have plan B in case McCormick throws the towel.

Now that Hovde is running, I expect more focus to go towards Wisconsin. Baldwin likely has less crossover appeal than Casey and Trump is more likely to win WI anyway.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1776328076139372635

Dude is straight up manifesting bullets out of thin air to shoot himself in the foot with

Look McCormick will probably lose to Casey by 4-5 points, but it isn't because he had lunch with Mastriano or something.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1776328076139372635

Dude is straight up manifesting bullets out of thin air to shoot himself in the foot with

Look McCormick will probably lose to Casey by 4-5 points, but it isn't because he had lunch with Mastriano or something.

This is such a weird comment? Of course no *one* instance is going to make him lose by 4-5%, what kind of comment is that? The point (which you seem unwilling to understand...?) is that all of these things add up to why he's such a terrible candidate. The simple fact that Dems can now run ads linking him to Mastriano is disastrous for him, especially in the suburbs.

This is so silly. Having a luncheon with Mastriano is not enough to "tie" McCormick to him. It would be like tying Casey to AOC because they had a meeting. And Oz was literally on the same ballot as Mastriano and held up quite well in the Philly suburbs relative to Trump.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

https://twitter.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1776328076139372635

Dude is straight up manifesting bullets out of thin air to shoot himself in the foot with

Look McCormick will probably lose to Casey by 4-5 points, but it isn't because he had lunch with Mastriano or something.

This is such a weird comment? Of course no *one* instance is going to make him lose by 4-5%, what kind of comment is that? The point (which you seem unwilling to understand...?) is that all of these things add up to why he's such a terrible candidate. The simple fact that Dems can now run ads linking him to Mastriano is disastrous for him, especially in the suburbs.

This is so silly. Having a luncheon with Mastriano is not enough to "tie" McCormick to him. It would be like tying Casey to AOC because they had a meeting. And Oz was literally on the same ballot as Mastriano and held up quite well in the Philly suburbs relative to Trump.

Now we're just lying...

Montgomery: Biden +26, Fetterman +28
Bucks: Biden +4.5, Fetterman +7.5
Chester: Biden +17, Fetterman +17
Delaware: Biden +27,  Fetterman +28

Where is the lie outside maybe Bucks? Oz literally did the same as Trump or 1/2 points less. Fetterman won big because of the shifts in rural and Western PA not the Philly area.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Trump has endorsed McCormick formally tonight at his rally in Schnecksville. Dave McCormick has also been endorsed by W Bush.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Trump has endorsed McCormick formally tonight at his rally in Schnecksville. Dave McCormick has also been endorsed by W Bush.

Probably not a first, but it's a pretty rare sight to see both Trump and Dubya endorse the same guy (in a non-safe seat, at least).

I would love to see what happened if both of them showed up to campaign for McCormick.

It's interesting how the entire party has united around McCormick. He is also endorsed by Pat Toomey, Doug Mastriano, Brian Fitzpatrick, Scott Perry, Karl Rove, John Bolton, and Marsha Blackburn.