California Senate 2024 - Schiff (D) vs Garvey (R)

[Arizona Iced Tea]

I think Feinstein will retire. 2024 is just too late to jump into the race because the other candidates will arleady have had a 1 year headstart of fundraising and campaigning. Feinstein likely just doesn't want to appear as a lameduck until 2024.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

I honestly hope Barbara Lee wins the race. Schiff is too obssessed with Trump and Porter is an annoying karen. Lee was also against giving Bush war powers after 9/11 and voted against the Patriot act.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Barbara Lee is based, she voted against Patriot Act and Iraq war.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

The biggest problem for Lee is her age. She is 77 and running for an open seat, and it does not help at all that Feinstein died in office a few months ago.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Barbara Lee was such an anti-war icon and it's a sad way to end an amazing career.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

The Schiff vs Garvey map looks like a 2000's level general election result in California when the state wasn't as blue. Runs out to around a Schiff+9 margin for the two way race.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

The Schiff vs Garvey map looks like a 2000's level general election result in California when the state wasn't as blue. Runs out to around a Schiff+9 margin for the two way race.

?
The overall combined Democratic vote is presently 60.4%

Yes I know that. I'm just saying between Schiff and Garvey because their map colors are red and blue.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

I think if Garvey plays his cards right there may be an opening for him to win the special election. Schiff is guaranteed the 6 year Senate seat, but the 1-2 month one I think Garvey has a very small window of oppurtunity for. He is doing 5 points better in the special election, and is likely more popular than Schiff in the state politics aside. If he can succesfully make the case, enough people might be fine with a symbolic R Senator for 2 months before Schiff takes over for the rest of 6 years. It's a meaningless race though but it's not like Garvey has anything better to do.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

I think if Garvey plays his cards right there may be an opening for him to win the special election. Schiff is guaranteed the 6 year Senate seat, but the 1-2 month one I think Garvey has a very small window of oppurtunity for. He is doing 5 points better in the special election, and is likely more popular than Schiff in the state politics aside. If he can succesfully make the case, enough people might be fine with a symbolic R Senator for 2 months before Schiff takes over for the rest of 6 years. It's a meaningless race though but it's not like Garvey has anything better to do.

I hate to be super simplistic but no. This is California. Both nominees are generic as hell. And the general will have presidential turnout.

I agree the odds are super, super thin and even Hogan has significantly better chances of winning his race.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

I HATE Adam Schiff, but ending that woman's career is the one good thing he's done.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Will Garvey beat Schiff in Orange County in November?