Rate Montana for Senate

[Arizona Iced Tea]

I think Daines will win because:
1) He is a well-liked Senator and has pretty good approval for a vulnerable incumbent
2) Montana split-tickets, but they prefer Republicans more than Democrats
A)Bullock won by a lean margin in 2016, while Trump won by a safe margin
B)Tester only won by 3ish points in a blue wave year against Maryland Mat, while in the House election Gianforte won by 4ish
3) Also if Montana loves split ticketing a lot, I expect we would see some Biden/Daines ballots too, not all of the split tickets are gonna be Trump/Bullock

[Arizona Iced Tea]

MT likes ticket-splitting but still prefers Republicans, which is why Trump and Daines won by double digits, compared to Tester and Bullock's 3-4 point wins in the state.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

MT likes ticket-splitting but still prefers Republicans, which is why Trump and Daines won by double digits, compared to Tester and Bullock's 3-4 point wins in the state.

Daines won in 2014 in a R wave year and against a flawed incumbent Walsh, you cant compare Bullick to Walsh.

Anyway, MT and KS are the backup option to NC and ME, Collins can win ME 2 and may sit in the middle of a D 51/49 Senate..

As I said earlier Bollier is a Dr and Bullock have both had media exposure, and Kobach, Marshall and Daines have been absent.

The thing about Kansas is that Trump is probably gonna win it by at least 15 points and will likely win it by more than that. Can Boiler really run more than 16 points ahead of Biden in the state?