New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT) (user search)
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  New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT) (search mode)
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Author Topic: New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)  (Read 53033 times)
n1240
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« on: February 09, 2020, 10:18:48 AM »
The party reg stats are 4 IND and 1 REP so Trump is guaranteed a vote.

Sanders 3
Klobuchar 1

Trump 1
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n1240
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« Reply #1 on: February 09, 2020, 10:51:48 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 09, 2020, 10:21:03 AM
Quote from: n1240 on February 09, 2020, 10:18:48 AM
The party reg stats are 4 IND and 1 REP so Trump is guaranteed a vote.

Sanders 3
Klobuchar 1

Trump 1

Oh, ok.

But Republicans (like Indys) can also vote in the Dem. primary I guess.

Typically, the exit polls show something like 70% D composition in a NH Dem. primary, 25% Indys and 5% Rs.

That's just party ID isn't it? New Hampshire is semi-closed where Democrats are restricted to a Democratic ballot and Republicans are restricted to a Republican ballot. Independents are allowed to declare a party at their polling place, and have a choice of switching back to undeclared before leaving the polling place.
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n1240
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« Reply #2 on: February 11, 2020, 12:08:04 AM »
Dixville Notch results:

DEM:
Bloomberg 2
Sanders 1
Buttigieg 1

GOP:
Bloomberg 1
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n1240
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« Reply #3 on: February 11, 2020, 12:18:24 AM »




Totals from midnight voting in DEM primary:

Klobuchar 8
Sanders 4
Warren 4
Yang 3
Biden 2
Bloomberg 2
Buttigieg 2
Gabbard 1
Steyer 1
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n1240
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« Reply #4 on: February 11, 2020, 12:58:39 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 11, 2020, 12:55:48 PM
Quote from: marty on February 11, 2020, 12:00:29 PM
Turnout approaching 35% already in Burlington


Very good for sanders. That’s home turf

I could be wrong, but I'm pretty sure there isn't a Burlington, NH.

35% turnout at noon also seems obscurely high for an election that's expecting around 45% turnout overall, he may just be making stuff up - which I'm pretty sure he has done before.
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n1240
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« Reply #5 on: February 11, 2020, 02:13:54 PM »
« Edited: February 11, 2020, 02:17:49 PM by n1240 »
Voter turnout numbers (as of 12:30 pm) to over-analyze from college towns:



Sanders 2016 performance in each location:

Durham: 70.3%
Plymouth: 79.2%
Hanover: 53.1%
Keene Ward 1: 82.6%
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n1240
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« Reply #6 on: February 11, 2020, 04:39:46 PM »
Quote from: n1240 on February 11, 2020, 02:13:54 PM
Voter turnout numbers (as of 12:30 pm) to over-analyze from college towns:

https://twitter.com/The10thMTN/status/1227289237860413440

Sanders 2016 performance in each location:

Durham: 70.3%
Plymouth: 79.2%
Hanover: 53.1%
Keene Ward 1: 82.6%


update:
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n1240
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« Reply #7 on: February 11, 2020, 05:35:44 PM »
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n1240
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« Reply #8 on: February 11, 2020, 06:43:31 PM »
NYTimes Needle is up

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/11/us/elections/results-new-hampshire-live-forecast.html?action=click&module=ELEX_results&pgtype=Interactive&region=Navigation
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n1240
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« Reply #9 on: February 11, 2020, 08:53:05 PM »
Noticed that the model that the needle is based on is double counting votes that are already counted.
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n1240
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« Reply #10 on: February 11, 2020, 09:30:50 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on February 11, 2020, 09:29:52 PM
According to DDHQ, Bernie leads by 2.7% or 4.7K votes. Most places still out are  either in Rockingham/Hillsborough suburbs or the rural areas between Carroll and Sullivan counties. 

It's closer to 4.2K vote lead since they have Manchester results incorrect.
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n1240
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« Reply #11 on: February 11, 2020, 10:20:44 PM »
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n1240
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« Reply #12 on: February 11, 2020, 10:28:29 PM »
Hanover:

Buttigieg 1392
Sanders 1057
Klobuchar 1056
Warren 953
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