2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Associate Justice PiT]

I'm not feeling certain about Biden winning NC.

     NYT gives a 94% chance of Trump taking it, so that is probably a good idea.

[Associate Justice PiT]

NY times has Trump at a 95% chance in NC.

Tillis is up now. Republicans hold the senate unless Ernst flops.

     If Tillis holds on that is huge. He was one of the biggest targets for Dems this cycle.

[Associate Justice PiT]

Susan Collins seems to be outrunning Trump by a lot.

     Should have been expected tbh. She has spent her entire career successfully avoiding being tied to the national GOP. It seems Dems were too optimistic thinking that this would be it.

[Associate Justice PiT]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KyleKulinski/status/1324735367610798081
lol

The left is not going to get far if it keep believing in the delusion that a majority of voters are closet progressives who are just waiting to cast their ballots for Bernie Sanders or AOC.

- 63% support for a 15 Dollar minimum wage  
- 66% support healthcare for all
- 63% support tuition free universities

Don't cite polls, you know how awful they were

Historically, issue polls have been much more accurate than election polls.

     Key is most voters aren't Atlas posters. They don't really care that much about issues beyond one or two pet projects, if even that. The proportion of voters who are swayed by those issues isn't as high as 60-something %.